Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.