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Europa League
Leverkusen logo
Europa League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
BayArena
Atalanta logo

B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
Atalanta


Fosu-Mensah (56'), Diaby (90'), Andrich (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boga (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Atalanta BC (Atalanta win 4-3 on aggregate)

 Despite a goal-laden and expansive first leg, neither side managed to score at all upon their return to domestic duty at the weekend, and Leverkusen may find Wirtz's absence as disruptive as Zapata's has been for Atalanta. The Bergamaschi may be more miss than hit of late, but they are generally a force to be reckoned with away from home, so they can hang on for a draw to squeeze through to the last eight at their hosts' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAtalanta BC
32.2%23.91%43.89%
Both teams to score 60.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46%41.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06%63.94%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82%19.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15%50.85%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 32.2%
    Atalanta BC 43.89%
    Draw 23.91%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.2%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-1 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 4.99%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 43.89%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Atalanta

Bayer Leverkusen
43.4%
Draw
23.1%
Atalanta BC
33.5%
212
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2022 8pm
Atalanta
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Malinovskyi (23'), Muriel (25', 49')
Toloi (64')
Aranguiz (11'), Diaby (63')
Bakker (73'), Wirtz (78')
rhs 2.0
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