Europa League

Europa League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
Atalanta

(Atalanta BC win 4-2 on aggregate)

Fosu-Mensah (56'), Diaby (90'), Andrich (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Boga (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Atalanta BC
32.2%	23.91%	43.89%

Both teams to score 60.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.46%

41.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.06%

63.94%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93%

25.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25%

59.75%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82%

19.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.15%

50.85%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 32.2%

Atalanta BC 43.89%

Draw 23.91%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.2%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.81% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 4.99% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.29% Total : 43.89%