| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 85.63%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 4.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
| 85.63% | 10% | 4.37% |
| Both teams to score 42.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.05% | 29.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.85% | 51.15% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.2% | 4.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.61% | 19.39% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.65% | 88.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
| 3-0 @ 12.51% 2-0 @ 12.36% 4-0 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 7.3% 2-1 @ 7.21% 5-0 @ 5.77% 4-1 @ 5.54% 5-1 @ 3.37% 6-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.13% 6-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.62% 7-0 @ 1.27% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.3% Total : 85.63% | 1-1 @ 4.75% 0-0 @ 2.68% 2-2 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.46% Total : 10% | 0-1 @ 1.56% 1-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.42% Total : 4.37% |