| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 37 | -34 | 29 |
| 19 | Genoa | 37 | -32 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 37 | -35 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Bologna | 37 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 37 | -14 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Empoli |
| 31.3% | 25.16% | 43.54% |
| Both teams to score 55.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% | 47.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% | 69.81% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% | 28.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% | 64.42% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% | 21.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% | 55.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.54% |