Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
0 - 1
Empoli

Freuler (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 3-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Empoli
68.41% ( 1.42)	16.87% ( -0.54)	14.71% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 62.68% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.63% (

0.78)

28.37% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.79% (

0.95)

49.2% (

-0.95)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.39% (

0.49)

7.61% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.78% (

1.24)

27.22% (

-1.24)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

-0.52)

32.15% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37% (

-0.59)

68.63% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 68.41%

Empoli 14.71%

Draw 16.87%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Empoli
2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.33% Total : 68.41%	1-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.87%	1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.79% Total : 14.71%