Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.