| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
| 17.12% | 19.65% | 63.23% |
| Both teams to score 57.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.79% | 37.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.58% | 59.42% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% | 35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% | 71.74% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.78% | 11.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.24% | 35.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 4.73% 1-0 @ 4.12% 2-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.81% 3-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.63% Total : 17.12% | 1-1 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 3.93% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.65% | 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-3 @ 7.19% 0-3 @ 6.85% 1-4 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.78% 0-4 @ 3.75% 2-4 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.72% 0-5 @ 1.64% 2-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.54% Total : 63.23% |