Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 18, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 1
Roma

Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79
4	Juventus	38	20	70

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Roma
43.09%	24.31%	32.6%

Both teams to score 59.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.73%

43.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.34%

65.66%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76%

20.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.43%

52.56%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34%

25.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44%

60.56%

Score Analysis

Napoli 43.09%

Roma 32.6%

Draw 24.3%

Napoli	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.92% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 7.68% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.6%