Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 3, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 1
Roma

Bereszynski (46'), Sabiri (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mkhitaryan (27')
Ibanez (9'), Oliveira (48'), Pellegrini (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Roma
23.13%	22.44%	54.43%

Both teams to score 58.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.58%

41.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18%

63.82%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1%

67.91%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.82%

15.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.21%

43.79%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 23.13%

Roma 54.43%

Draw 22.44%

Sampdoria	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 6.01% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.13%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 3.56% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.52% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.43%