Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 20, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Lazio

Abraham (1', 22'), Pellegrini (40')
Karsdorp (48'), Mancini (53'), Zalewski (73'), Oliveira (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Pedro (43'), Patric (44'), Leiva (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Juventus	38	20	70
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Lazio
48.55%	25.37%	26.08%

Both teams to score 51.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63%

51.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81%

73.19%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83%

21.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.95%

54.05%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58%

34.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.87%

71.13%

Score Analysis

Roma 48.55%

Lazio 26.08%

Draw 25.36%

Roma	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.55%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.08%