Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.24%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.