/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
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Danilho Doekhi
54'
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Alois Oroz
56'
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Alois Oroz
80'
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Alois Oroz
81'
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Thomas Buitink
90'+4'
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Thomas Buitink
90'+5'
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Mikkel Duelund
49'
Vitesse vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result
Vitesse
54.67%
Draw
23%
NEC
22.32%
Both Teams to Score:
55.11%
Goals
Over 2.5
55.11%
Under 2.5
44.89%
Over 3.5
32.76%
Under 3.5
67.24%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
83.69%
Under 0.5
16.31%
Over 1.5
54.11%
Under 1.5
45.89%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
65.85%
Under 0.5
34.15%
Over 1.5
29.15%
Under 1.5
70.84%
Score analysis
Vitesse
54.67%
Draw
23%
NEC
22.32%
Vitesse
1-0
@
10.1%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 54.67%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 54.67%
Draw
1-1
@
10.85%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23%
NEC
0-1
@
5.99%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 22.32%