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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 41.03% | 26.27% | 32.7% |
| Both teams to score 52.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% | 51.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% | 73.62% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% | 24.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% | 59.58% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.12% | 65.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.7% |