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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 15.42% | 19.1% | 65.48% |
| Both teams to score 55.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.05% | 37.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.8% | 60.2% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.71% | 74.28% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.15% | 10.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.06% | 34.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.35% 1-0 @ 3.99% 2-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.42% | 1-1 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.83% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.1% | 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 9.03% 0-3 @ 7.43% 1-3 @ 7.29% 0-4 @ 4.13% 1-4 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 3.58% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-5 @ 1.83% 1-5 @ 1.8% Other @ 4.47% Total : 65.47% |