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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for NEC had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
| 46.69% | 24.54% | 28.77% |
| Both teams to score 56.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.91% | 46.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.61% | 68.39% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% | 19.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% | 51.92% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% | 29.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% | 65.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.3% Total : 28.77% |