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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 71.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 71.68% | 17.68% | 10.64% |
| Both teams to score 46.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% | 43.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% | 65.54% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.3% | 10.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.39% | 34.6% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.73% | 48.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.57% | 83.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-0 @ 12.89% 1-0 @ 11.53% 3-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 5.37% 4-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.66% | 1-1 @ 8.41% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.68% | 0-1 @ 3.76% 1-2 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.45% Total : 10.64% |