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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 44.42% | 25.88% | 29.69% |
| Both teams to score 52.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% | 51.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% | 73.17% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% | 23.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% | 56.85% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% | 31.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% | 68.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.69% |