Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
