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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 38.26% | 26.36% | 35.37% |
| Both teams to score 52.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% | 51.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% | 73.55% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% | 26.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% | 61.55% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% | 28.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% | 63.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.37% |