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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
37.36% | 25.79% | 36.84% |
Both teams to score 54.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% | 49.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.69% | 71.31% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.28% | 25.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.35% | 60.64% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.98% | 26.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% | 61.04% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.01% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |