UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Ernst Happel Stadion

Rapid Vienna
2 - 1
Vitesse

(Vitesse win 3-2 on aggregate)

Druijf (1'), Grull (16')
Grahovac (8'), Aiwu (29'), Demir (37'), Stojkovic (42'), Gartler (85'), Grull (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Openda (74')
Tronstad (5'), Doekhi (59'), Oroz (64'), Openda (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Rapid Vienna and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.1%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rapid Vienna in this match.

Result
Rapid Vienna	Draw	Vitesse
34.96%	22.66%	42.38%

Both teams to score 66.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.45%

34.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.51%

56.48%

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73%

20.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38%

52.62%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03%

16.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.94%

47.06%

Score Analysis

Rapid Vienna 34.96%

Vitesse 42.38%

Draw 22.66%

Rapid Vienna	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 7.77% 1-0 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.96%	1-1 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 6.89% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 8.64% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.42% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.39% Total : 42.38%

How you voted: Rapid Vienna vs Vitesse

Rapid Vienna

70.2%

Draw

22.6%

Vitesse

7.1%