Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.