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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Groningen |
| 67.87% | 19.07% | 13.06% |
| Both teams to score 49.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% | 43.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% | 65.54% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% | 11.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.19% | 36.81% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.88% | 44.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.78% | 80.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 11.88% 1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 6.95% 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-0 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.52% Total : 67.86% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.07% | 0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-2 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.09% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.06% |