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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 17.93% | 23.08% | 58.98% |
| Both teams to score 47.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.09% | 50.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.21% | 72.78% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.77% | 42.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.37% | 78.63% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% | 47.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 6.17% 2-1 @ 4.72% 2-0 @ 2.66% 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.93% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 12.7% 0-2 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 5.75% 0-4 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.48% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 1.05% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.81% Total : 58.98% |