Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
| 33.38% | 25.68% | 40.94% |
| Both teams to score 54.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% | 49.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% | 71.24% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% | 28.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% | 63.7% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% | 23.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% | 57.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.94% |