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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
| 64.91% | 21.13% | 13.95% |
| Both teams to score 45.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% | 49.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% | 71.93% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% | 14.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.21% | 42.79% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.02% | 46.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.53% | 82.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.22% Total : 64.9% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.13% | 0-1 @ 5.2% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.96% 1-3 @ 0.95% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.95% |