Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 20, 2021 at 8pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
3 - 1
Sittard

Azzaoui (6', 30'), Sierhuis (67')
Burgzorg (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Flemming (9')
Angha (27'), Rienstra (41'), Ferati (42'), Flemming (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
53.46%	23.27%	23.28%

Both teams to score 55.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55%

45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.65%

67.35%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.22%

16.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.26%

46.74%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64%

33.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.02%

69.98%

Score Analysis

Heracles 53.46%

Fortuna Sittard 23.28%

Draw 23.27%

Heracles	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.46%	1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 5.6% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.28%