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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
38.53% | 26.41% | 35.06% |
Both teams to score 52.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.97% | 52.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% | 73.76% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% | 26.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% | 61.5% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.61% | 28.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.87% | 64.13% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |