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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 55.25% | 24.51% | 20.24% |
| Both teams to score 47.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% | 53.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% | 74.97% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% | 19.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% | 50.98% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% | 41.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% | 77.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.24% 4-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.04% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.24% |