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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
| 59.08% | 21.45% | 19.47% |
| Both teams to score 55.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% | 41.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% | 64.11% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% | 13.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.89% | 41.11% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% | 35.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.11% | 71.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.51% 3-1 @ 6.57% 3-0 @ 6.28% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 3.25% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.15% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-1 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.47% |