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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 21.85% | 23.31% | 54.84% |
| Both teams to score 53.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.27% | 46.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31% | 68.99% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% | 35.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% | 72.39% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% | 16.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.02% | 46.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 6.22% 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.86% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.5% 2-4 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3% Total : 54.83% |