Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 5, 2021 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
3 - 1
Sparta

Karlsson (27' pen., 31'), Pavlidis (58')
Pavlidis (45')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Auassar (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.77%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
70.02%	18.84%	11.14%

Both teams to score 44.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.09%

46.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.83%

69.17%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.8%

12.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.13%

37.87%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.23%

49.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.5%

84.5%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 70.01%

Sparta Rotterdam 11.14%

Draw 18.84%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 13.43% 1-0 @ 12.77% 3-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 6.58% 4-0 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.98% Total : 70.01%	1-1 @ 8.91% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.59% Total : 18.84%	0-1 @ 4.24% 1-2 @ 3.11% 0-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.31% Total : 11.14%

How you voted: AZ vs Sparta

AZ Alkmaar

100%

Draw

0.0%

Sparta Rotterdam