AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Groningen

AZ
1 - 0
Groningen

Karlsson (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buijs (12'), de Leeuw (28'), Duarte (78'), Dammers (87')
Kasanwirjo (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 9.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
75.43%15.14%9.42%
Both teams to score 50.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.3%34.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.34%56.66%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.29%7.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.55%27.45%
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.04%44.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09%80.9%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 75.43%
    Groningen 9.42%
    Draw 15.14%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
2-0 @ 11.38%
3-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 7.78%
4-0 @ 6.24%
4-1 @ 4.99%
5-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 3.11%
5-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.99%
6-0 @ 1.37%
6-1 @ 1.09%
5-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 75.43%
1-1 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 3.64%
0-0 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 15.14%
1-2 @ 2.84%
0-1 @ 2.77%
0-2 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 9.42%

How you voted: AZ vs Groningen

AZ Alkmaar
87.9%
Draw
8.6%
Groningen
3.4%
58
rhs 2.0


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