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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 9.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Groningen |
75.43% | 15.14% | 9.42% |
Both teams to score 50.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.3% | 34.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.34% | 56.66% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.29% | 7.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.55% | 27.45% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.04% | 44.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.09% | 80.9% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Groningen |
2-0 @ 11.38% 3-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-0 @ 6.24% 4-1 @ 4.99% 5-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 3.11% 5-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.99% 6-0 @ 1.37% 6-1 @ 1.09% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.01% Total : 75.43% | 1-1 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 3.64% 0-0 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.94% Total : 15.14% | 1-2 @ 2.84% 0-1 @ 2.77% 0-2 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.74% Total : 9.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |