Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Randers had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Randers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.