Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 18, 2021 at 7pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
4 - 2
Groningen

Basacikoglu (32'), Laursen (34'), Kiomourtzoglou (87'), Kasanwirjo (89' og.)
Rente (44'), Fadiga (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Strand Larsen (9'), Postema (78')
te Wierik (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Groningen
43.23%	24.6%	32.17%

Both teams to score 58.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26%

44.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9%

67.1%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22%

20.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56%

53.43%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36%

26.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12%

61.87%

Score Analysis

Heracles 43.23%

Groningen 32.17%

Draw 24.59%

Heracles	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 9.04% 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.23%	1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.61% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.17%