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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
24.68% | 24.52% | 50.8% |
Both teams to score 53.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% | 48.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% | 71.07% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.69% | 34.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% | 71.01% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% | 19.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% | 51.04% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 7.08% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.68% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |