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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
| 57.28% | 22.41% | 20.3% |
| Both teams to score 54.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% | 44.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% | 67.17% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% | 15.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.79% | 44.2% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% | 36.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% | 72.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.72% 3-1 @ 6.18% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.3% |