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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 35.21% | 25.83% | 38.96% |
| Both teams to score 54.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% | 49.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% | 71.54% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% | 27.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% | 62.46% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% | 24.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% | 59.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.96% |