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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 27.4% | 25.1% | 47.49% |
| Both teams to score 53.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% | 49.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% | 71.43% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% | 32.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.19% | 68.81% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% | 20.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% | 53.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.49% |