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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Cambuur |
| 54.51% | 21.74% | 23.75% |
| Both teams to score 61.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.55% | 37.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.33% | 59.67% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% | 13.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% | 28.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% | 64.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 6.41% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.51% | 1-1 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-1 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.33% Total : 23.75% |