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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
14.56% | 18.53% | 66.91% |
Both teams to score 55.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.9% | 37.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.7% | 59.3% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.9% | 38.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.13% | 74.87% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.75% | 10.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.41% | 33.6% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 4.14% 1-0 @ 3.77% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.56% | 1-1 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.53% | 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-3 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 7.43% 0-4 @ 4.38% 1-4 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.58% 2-4 @ 2.04% 0-5 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.93% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.9% Total : 66.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |