Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Ajax
14.56%	18.53%	66.91%

Both teams to score 55.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.9%

37.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.7%

59.3%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.9%

38.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.13%

74.87%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.75%

10.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.41%

33.6%

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 14.56%

Ajax 66.91%

Draw 18.53%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 4.14% 1-0 @ 3.77% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.56%	1-1 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.53%	0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-3 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 7.43% 0-4 @ 4.38% 1-4 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.58% 2-4 @ 2.04% 0-5 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.93% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.9% Total : 66.91%