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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 22.01% | 22.74% | 55.26% |
| Both teams to score 55.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% | 44.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% | 66.47% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% | 34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.32% | 70.68% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% | 15.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.99% | 45.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 5.81% 2-1 @ 5.77% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.18% Total : 22.01% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.06% 0-3 @ 5.62% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.79% 0-4 @ 2.59% 2-4 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.5% Total : 55.26% |