Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.