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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 34.34% | 25.76% | 39.9% |
| Both teams to score 54.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% | 49.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% | 71.42% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% | 63.06% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% | 24.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% | 58.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.34% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.9% |