Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.