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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 68.83% | 19.8% | 11.37% |
| Both teams to score 41.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% | 50.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% | 72.21% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% | 13.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.37% | 40.63% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.55% | 51.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.36% | 85.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% 2-0 @ 13.92% 3-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 6.17% 4-0 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.05% 5-0 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.39% Total : 68.82% | 1-1 @ 9.26% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 3.08% Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.63% 1-2 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.12% Total : 11.37% |