Both sides will head into Friday's game on a high after victories last time out, but Twente will be deemed as favourites considering their position at the top end of the table.
While Sparta will be motivated by the opportunity to move out of the bottom three with maximum points, we feel that the Tukkers will do enough to secure a slender win on home soil and boost their chances of a top-three finish.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
