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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 47.41% | 25.74% | 26.85% |
| Both teams to score 51.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% | 52.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% | 74% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% | 22.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% | 55.4% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29% | 71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.41% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.1% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.85% |