Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 12, 2021 at 1.30pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
3 - 1
Sittard

Smeets (21'), Thy (29'), Emegha (73')
Beugelsdijk (42'), Pinto (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Seuntjens (49')
Flemming (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
47.75%	24.86%	27.39%

Both teams to score 54.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.66%

48.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52%

70.48%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35%

52.65%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23%

31.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8%

68.19%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 47.74%

Fortuna Sittard 27.39%

Draw 24.85%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.74%	1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.39%