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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
15.57% | 21.01% | 63.43% |
Both teams to score 49.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.68% | 46.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.39% | 68.61% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.52% | 42.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.15% | 78.85% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% | 13.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.58% | 41.42% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 5.07% 2-1 @ 4.28% 2-0 @ 2.17% 3-1 @ 1.22% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.57% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.01% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 0-2 @ 11.49% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-3 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 6.46% 0-4 @ 3.72% 1-4 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-5 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.36% 1-5 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.66% Total : 63.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |