Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.