Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 13, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 0
Willem II

Namli (59')
Vriends (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oosting (14'), Wellenreuther (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Willem II
49.15%	25.34%	25.51%

Both teams to score 51.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.32%

51.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.54%

73.45%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96%

21.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16%

53.84%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94%

35.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19%

71.81%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 49.14%

Willem II 25.51%

Draw 25.34%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.49% Total : 49.14%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.07% Total : 25.51%