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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 37.59% | 26.97% | 35.44% |
| Both teams to score 50.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% | 54.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% | 75.68% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% | 27.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% | 63.59% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% | 29.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% | 65.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.43% |